Coming off an epic Monday night win, the Seattle Seahawks will pack their bags and head to Tennessee this week to face the Titans as a 2.5-point favorite in a game that could see both clubs starting different quarterbacks than Week 15.
With a possible Ryan Tannehill start on the horizon and coming off another poor offensive performance, should bettors continue to fade this Tenessee offense in Week 16?
I break down the Week 16 NFL odds and offer my free NFL picks for Seahawks vs. Titans on December 24.
Seahawks vs Titans odds
Seahawks vs Titans predictions
Tennessee Titans quarterback Will Levis suffered an ankle injury in Week 15 on the final offensive play and heads into this week very questionable. Mike Vrabel has told reporters that it will be Ryan Tannehill under center if he can’t go which isn’t a big downgrade, but possibly enough to move this number to Seattle -3.
Levis told the media on Wednesday that if he can, he will play, but he didn’t practice.
The #Titans will start Ryan Tannehill on Sunday vs. the Seahawks if Will Levis can’t go due to his ankle injury.Levis will not practice today. pic.twitter.com/CwufazTwze
— Ari Meirov (@MySportsUpdate) December 20, 2023
It was already an offense that was struggling to do much even with a strong-armed young QB. The Titans had a very good offensive matchup last week vs. a Texans defense that was missing some bodies and Vrabel’s group managed just 204 total yards on 3.2 yards per play.
When Tannehill was healthy and running this offense, this team went 2-4 SU and scored one or fewer touchdowns in all four of those losses.
Derrick Henry had 10 yards on 20 total touches last week in arguably his worst showing in a declining career and since Levis took over, this is the No.23 offense in success rate.
The Seattle Seahawks are coming off a big win and on a short week, but I can’t get behind this Tennessee offense with the quarterback issues and the poor pass protection.
Levis was sacked seven times last game which brings his total to 27 over eight games in an offense with a low pass rate. Tannehill also was free-picking for opposing pass rushes as the veteran took 19 sacks over 158 pass attempts. The Seahawks should tilt this game in their favor with their advantage vs. the Titans’ offensive line.
With Seattle likely getting Geno Smith back, this Seahawks offense should be playing with the ball more and decreasing the overall play volume from the Titans. This was already an offense struggling to extend drives with the 28th-ranked third-down conversion percentage and score inside the 20 with a red-zone TD% of 43.9% which is the second-worst rate in the league.
This is also one of the worst second-half teams in football as the Titans have hit the 2H moneyline just three times over their last 17 games.
I’d play this team total Under at 19.5 at -115 or better, but jumping on this early at Under 20.5 (-125). The buy on the other side of 20 is worth the tax. Tennesse is -210 on their Under 2.5 total TDs. I’m good with this number with a hobbled Levis or Tannehill.
My best bet: Titans team total Under 20.5 (-125 at Caesars)Picks made at time of writing may not reflect live odds.
MORE NFL FREE PICKS
Seahawks vs Titans same-game parlay
Titans team total Under 20.5 pointsTyjae Spears Over 27.5 rushing yardsTyler Lockett Over 49.5 receiving yards
+800 at bet365
I’m getting a couple of good multipliers here. First is the one between the two Tennessee plays as Tyjae Spears’ modest rushing Over isn’t a big threat to the team total but I’m still getting +325 for the pair when the true odds are +249.
Derrick Henry did nothing last week and the backup has been the better rusher on the season. The next play is turning this into +800 when the true odds are +568. It’s a multiplier because the Seahawks are projected to win in my SGP with the TEN TT Under but there are lots of outs where Tyler Lockett, who had nine targets last week and gets Geno back, can hit the 50-yard mark.
Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.
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